The Clorox Company CLX

Revenue Intelligence Report • 63 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-10-14 • Data through 2026-03-31

The Clorox Company's latest quarterly revenue is $1.7B for the period ending 2026-03-31. The model projects $6.1B across the next four quarters (-9.1% versus the preceding four quarters). The forecast uses SG&A data; model selection and estimation exclude the latest quarter, whose retrospective holdout error is 11.0%. These are statistical associations, not estimates of the causal effect of spending.

Investment Thesis

The ARDL forecast is based on reported revenue and SG&A data through 2026-03-31. Training MAPE measures fit to historical data; the separately reported holdout error measures a withheld quarter. Spending coefficients describe associations and do not establish causation.

Next 4 Quarters
$6.14B
-9.1% YoY
R&D Multiplier
$33.70 per $1
SG&A Multiplier
$4.79 per $1
Training Fit
3.7% MAPE
Retrospective holdout (Q3 FY2026): The model predicted $1.49B vs the actual $1.67B — an error of 11.0%.
Retrospective one-quarter holdout: model fitting and selection exclude this quarter. Historical inputs use the latest available restatements, so this is not a preserved real-time forecast.

Revenue Forecast

CLX Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q3 FY2026
Period end 2026-03-31		 $1.49B $1.67B $1.31B–$1.67B -10.9% ✗ Outside range
Q4 FY2026
Period end 2026-06-30		 $1.68B $1.42B–$1.93B -15.5%
Q1 FY2027
Period end 2026-09-30		 $1.55B $1.24B–$1.86B +8.6%
Q2 FY2027
Period end 2026-12-31		 $1.49B $1.13B–$1.85B -10.9%
Q3 FY2027
Period end 2027-03-31		 $1.42B $1.02B–$1.83B -14.9%

Seasonal Factors

Multiplicative seasonal adjustment: These factors capture The Clorox Company's systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model. A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below. Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.
Fiscal QuarterSeasonal Factorvs TrendInterpretationObs.
FQ1 (Jul–Sep) 1.0039 +0.4% In line with trend 15
FQ2 (Oct–Dec) 0.9843 -1.6% In line with trend 15
FQ3 (Jan–Mar) 1.0025 +0.3% In line with trend 14
FQ4 (Apr–Jun) 1.0146 +1.5% In line with trend 14

Spending and Revenue

CLX Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue association per $1 of spending over subsequent quarters. These estimates describe historical associations and do not establish causation.

Time-Varying Spending Associations

Time-varying analysis: A penalized spline model (GAM) tracks the association between log spending and log revenue over 63 quarters. Its coefficients describe conditional historical associations, not causal returns on spending.
Current SG&A elasticity: 0.2277x • R&D elasticity: 0.6098x
The model-term chart shows relative absolute term magnitudes. Its percentages are not shares of revenue or causal contributions to growth.

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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings. SEC source data. Forecast model: ARDL; spending associations: ARDL (linear) with 63 quarters. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

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