What is FTI's forecasted revenue?

Technipfmc Plc is forecasted to generate $9.30B in FY revenue, representing -6.3% year-over-year growth.

How accurate is the FTI revenue forecast model?

The ARDL model achieves 10.5% MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error). In a holdout test, it predicted $2.6B versus the actual $2.5B.

Technipfmc Plc FTI

Revenue Intelligence Report • 40 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15

Technipfmc Plc has a forecasted full-year revenue of $9.3B, a -6.3% year-over-year change, based on 40 quarters of SEC filing data. Key revenue drivers include R&D ($42.95 per $1) and SG&A ($1.71 per $1). The ARDL model has 10.5% MAPE.

Investment Thesis

At 10.5% MAPE, the model captures Technipfmc Plc's broad revenue trajectory, though quarterly variability suggests sensitivity to external factors. Every $1 of R&D investment is associated with $42.95 of revenue, indicating efficient capital deployment in innovation. Each $1 of SG&A spending generates $1.71 in revenue, reflecting strong commercial efficiency.

Next FY Revenue

$9.30B

-6.3% YoY

R&D Multiplier

$42.95 per $1

SG&A Multiplier

$1.71 per $1

Model Accuracy

10.5% MAPE

Holdout validation: The model predicted $2.6B vs the actual $2.5B — an error of 3.2%.

Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

Quarter	Model Forecast	Actual	95% Range	YoY Growth	Status
Q4 2025	$2.6B	$2.5B	$2.0B – $3.2B	+9.8%	✓ In range
Q2 2026	$2.3B		$1.5B – $3.2B	+5.2%
Q3 2026	$2.3B		$1.2B – $3.3B	-10.6%
Q4 2026	$2.3B		$1.1B – $3.6B	-12.0%
Q1 2027	$2.4B		$1.0B – $3.7B	-6.3%

Seasonal Factors

Multiplicative seasonal adjustment: These factors capture Technipfmc Plc's systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model. A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below. Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.

Fiscal Quarter	Seasonal Factor	vs Trend	Interpretation	Obs.
FQ1 (Sep–Nov)	1.0544	+5.4%	+5.4% above trend	9
FQ2 (Dec–Feb)	0.9697	-3.0%	-3.0% below trend	9
FQ3 (Mar–May)	0.9288	-7.1%	-7.1% below trend	9
FQ4 (Jun–Aug)	1.0672	+6.7%	+6.7% above trend	9

How Spending Drives Revenue

Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

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