Udr, Inc. UDR

Revenue Intelligence Report • 37 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-10-14 • Data through 2026-03-31

Udr, Inc.'s latest quarterly revenue is $3M for the period ending 2026-03-31. The model projects $9M across the next four quarters (-25.6% versus the preceding four quarters). The forecast uses G&A data; model selection and estimation exclude the latest quarter, whose retrospective holdout error is 14.0%. These are statistical associations, not estimates of the causal effect of spending.

Investment Thesis

The ARDL forecast is based on reported revenue and G&A data through 2026-03-31. Training MAPE measures fit to historical data; the separately reported holdout error measures a withheld quarter. Spending coefficients describe associations and do not establish causation.

Next 4 Quarters
$8.77M
-25.6% YoY
G&A Elasticity
0.33x
Training Fit
29.2% MAPE
Retrospective holdout (Q1 FY2026): The model predicted $2.2M vs the actual $2.5M — an error of 14.0%.
Retrospective one-quarter holdout: model fitting and selection exclude this quarter. Historical inputs use the latest available restatements, so this is not a preserved real-time forecast.
Note: The current filings use G&A (GeneralAndAdministrativeExpense). Spending estimates refer to this expense measure, not separately reported SG&A.
Note: Udr, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. The model uses the available expense measure without a separate R&D term.

Revenue Forecast

UDR Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q1 FY2026
Period end 2026-03-31		 $2.2M $2.5M $1.1M–$4.4M +2.9% ✓ In range
Q2 FY2026
Period end 2026-06-30		 $2.0M $731.7K–$5.5M -16.0%
Q3 FY2026
Period end 2026-09-30		 $2.4M $682.7K–$8.2M -8.2%
Q4 FY2026
Period end 2026-12-31		 $2.4M $579.1K–$10.2M -43.3%
Q1 FY2027
Period end 2027-03-31		 $2.0M $396.1K–$9.7M -22.3%

Seasonal Factors

Multiplicative seasonal adjustment: These factors capture Udr, Inc.'s systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model. A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below. Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.
Fiscal QuarterSeasonal Factorvs TrendInterpretationObs.
FQ1 (Jan–Mar) 0.7513 -24.9% -24.9% below trend 8
FQ2 (Apr–Jun) 1.091 +9.1% +9.1% above trend 8
FQ3 (Jul–Sep) 1.0911 +9.1% +9.1% above trend 8
FQ4 (Oct–Dec) 0.9648 -3.5% -3.5% below trend 8

Spending and Revenue

UDR Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue association with a 1% change in spending over subsequent quarters. These estimates describe historical associations and do not establish causation.

Time-Varying Spending Associations

Time-varying analysis: A penalized spline model (GAM) tracks the association between log spending and log revenue over 37 quarters. Its coefficients describe conditional historical associations, not causal returns on spending.
Current G&A elasticity: 0.6507x
The model-term chart shows relative absolute term magnitudes. Its percentages are not shares of revenue or causal contributions to growth.

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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings. SEC source data. Forecast model: ARDL; spending associations: ARDL (log-log) with 37 quarters. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

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