W. P. Carey Inc. WPC
Revenue Intelligence Report • 66 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15
W. P. Carey Inc. has a forecasted full-year revenue of $1.7B, a +0.2% year-over-year change, based on 66 quarters of SEC filing data. The ARDL model has 10.6% MAPE.
Investment Thesis
At 10.6% MAPE, the model captures W. P. Carey Inc.'s broad revenue trajectory, though quarterly variability suggests sensitivity to external factors.
Next FY Revenue
$1.72B
+0.2% YoY
SG&A Multiplier
$-9.21 per $1
Model Accuracy
10.6% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $429B vs the actual $445B — an error of 3.5%.
⚠ Model limitation:
This company shows negative spending multipliers, meaning increases in spending have not directly translated into revenue growth. This typically occurs with commodity-driven companies or hypergrowth companies.
Note:
W. P. Carey Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $429B | $445B | $378B – $480B | +5.7% | ✓ In range |
| Q2 2026 | $429B | $357B – $502B | +4.8% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $430B | $342B – $518B | -0.2% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $430B | $328B – $532B | -0.2% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $430B | $316B – $545B | -3.2% |
Seasonal Factors
Multiplicative seasonal adjustment:
These factors capture W. P. Carey Inc.'s systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model.
A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below.
Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.
| Fiscal Quarter | Seasonal Factor | vs Trend | Interpretation | Obs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FQ1 (Sep–Nov) | 0.9871 | -1.3% | In line with trend | 16 |
| FQ2 (Dec–Feb) | 1.0412 | +4.1% | +4.1% above trend | 16 |
| FQ3 (Mar–May) | 0.988 | -1.2% | In line with trend | 15 |
| FQ4 (Jun–Aug) | 0.9827 | -1.7% | In line with trend | 15 |
How Spending Drives Revenue
Reading this chart:
Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.
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